Market Regime Log

Daily BankNifty regime classification · last 90 trading days · strategy calibration matrix

Regime Distribution (last 90 days)

↔ RANGING 27 days
⚡ VOLATILE 17 days
↓ GAP_DOWN 17 days
↑ GAP_UP 15 days
· NORMAL 14 days

Strategy Win Rate by Regime

Green = preferred (≥50% WR, 10+ trades) · Red = avoid · Gray = not enough data yet (<10 trades)

S# GAP UP GAP DOWN VOLATILE TRENDING UP TRENDING DOWN RANGING NORMAL
S1 66.67%
18t
65.22%
23t
55.56%
27t
— — 16.67%
30t
62.50%
16t
S2 58.82%
17t
52.00%
25t
50.00%
24t
— — 44.00%
25t
56.25%
16t
S3 64.29%
14t
55.56%
18t
64.71%
17t
— — 29.63%
27t
61.54%
13t
S4 4t
4t
8t
8t
38.46%
13t
— — 6t
6t
5t
5t
S5 26.67%
15t
50.00%
18t
27.78%
18t
— — 47.83%
23t
46.15%
13t
S6 8t
8t
66.67%
12t
64.71%
17t
— — 46.67%
15t
50.00%
10t
S7 4t
4t
6t
6t
4t
4t
— — 8t
8t
5t
5t
S8 40.00%
15t
61.11%
18t
27.78%
18t
— — 44.44%
27t
78.57%
14t
S9 30.77%
13t
47.06%
17t
50.00%
18t
— — 30.77%
26t
63.64%
11t
S10 28.57%
14t
52.94%
17t
50.00%
18t
— — 50.00%
26t
21.43%
14t
S11 46.67%
15t
71.43%
14t
68.75%
16t
— — 19.23%
26t
50.00%
14t
S12 3t
3t
6t
6t
4t
4t
— — 8t
8t
5t
5t
S13 4t
4t
6t
6t
4t
4t
— — 8t
8t
5t
5t
S14 50.00%
14t
46.15%
13t
56.25%
16t
— — 56.00%
25t
61.54%
13t
S15 4t
4t
6t
6t
4t
4t
— — 7t
7t
5t
5t
S16 54.55%
11t
50.00%
12t
61.54%
13t
— — 42.86%
21t
72.73%
11t
S17 63.64%
11t
58.33%
12t
75.00%
12t
— — 47.62%
21t
27.27%
11t
S18 50.00%
10t
40.00%
10t
50.00%
12t
— — 33.33%
15t
40.00%
10t
S19 7t
7t
9t
9t
8t
8t
— — 13.33%
15t
20.00%
10t
S20 45.45%
11t
58.33%
12t
53.85%
13t
— — 50.00%
22t
7.69%
13t
S21 4t
4t
4t
4t
7t
7t
— — 9t
9t
5t
5t
S22 4t
4t
6t
6t
5t
5t
— — 8t
8t
5t
5t
S23 — — — — — — —
S24 — — — — — — —

Today's Strategy Ranking — Composite Score

Score = Regime win rate (35%) + DOW win rate (25%) + Recent 10-trade win rate (40%). Null component = neutral 50. Blocked = that dimension has enough data and proves bad.

Strategy Score Regime (—) DOW win rate Recent 10 trades Status
S12 ★ top pick 66.0 — — 90% ✓ good
S11 62.0 — — 80% ✓ good
S7 58.0 — — 70% ✓ good
S16 58.0 — — 70% ✓ good
S17 58.0 — — 70% ✓ good
S1 54.0 — — 60% neutral
S3 54.0 — — 60% neutral
S20 54.0 — — 60% neutral
S2 50.0 — — 50% neutral
S4 50.0 — — 50% neutral
S6 50.0 — — 50% neutral
S9 50.0 — — 50% neutral
S10 50.0 — — 50% neutral
S14 50.0 — — 50% neutral
S22 50.0 — — 50% neutral
S5 46.0 — — 40% neutral
S8 46.0 — — 40% neutral
S13 46.0 — — 40% neutral
S15 46.0 — — 40% neutral
S19 46.0 — — 40% neutral
S21 46.0 — — 40% neutral
S18 42.0 — — 30% neutral

Strategy Win Rate by Day of Week

Green = preferred (≥50% WR, 10+ trades) · Red = avoid · Gray = not enough data

Strategy Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
S1 47.83%
23t
41.67%
24t
47.83%
23t
65.22%
23t
47.62%
21t
S2 66.67%
21t
38.10%
21t
47.83%
23t
61.90%
21t
42.86%
21t
S3 37.50%
16t
57.89%
19t
52.63%
19t
57.89%
19t
50.00%
16t
S4 6t
6t
6t
6t
9t
9t
50.00%
10t
5t
5t
S5 47.06%
17t
35.29%
17t
50.00%
18t
38.89%
18t
29.41%
17t
S6 35.71%
14t
81.82%
11t
56.25%
16t
61.54%
13t
8t
8t
S7 4t
4t
6t
6t
6t
6t
6t
6t
5t
5t
S8 44.44%
18t
57.89%
19t
57.89%
19t
36.84%
19t
47.06%
17t
S9 41.18%
17t
44.44%
18t
47.06%
17t
47.37%
19t
28.57%
14t
S10 47.06%
17t
27.78%
18t
47.37%
19t
36.84%
19t
56.25%
16t
S11 40.00%
15t
50.00%
18t
50.00%
18t
50.00%
18t
43.75%
16t
S12 3t
3t
6t
6t
6t
6t
6t
6t
5t
5t
S13 4t
4t
6t
6t
6t
6t
6t
6t
5t
5t
S14 37.50%
16t
70.59%
17t
52.94%
17t
64.71%
17t
42.86%
14t
S15 3t
3t
6t
6t
6t
6t
6t
6t
5t
5t
S16 38.46%
13t
42.86%
14t
50.00%
14t
85.71%
14t
53.85%
13t
S17 53.85%
13t
35.71%
14t
53.85%
13t
57.14%
14t
69.23%
13t
S18 54.55%
11t
54.55%
11t
38.46%
13t
9t
9t
38.46%
13t
S19 50.00%
12t
8t
8t
70.00%
10t
18.18%
11t
8t
8t
S20 61.54%
13t
28.57%
14t
33.33%
15t
46.67%
15t
50.00%
14t
S21 4t
4t
6t
6t
7t
7t
6t
6t
6t
6t
S22 5t
5t
6t
6t
6t
6t
6t
6t
5t
5t
S23 — — — — —
S24 — — — — —

Daily Log — Last 90 Days

Date Day 9:21 type Candle structure Final Gap % Gap filled Range Exp× DE %↑VWAP VWAP× OR brk Close
2026-10-09 Fri ↑ GAP_UP LOWER_WICK_DOM 26% ↑ GAP_UP +0.424% ran 800.95 1.22× 0.637 91.20% 6 ↑ UP 55,257
2026-10-08 Thu ⚡ VOLATILE NORMAL 47% ⚡ VOLATILE -0.023% — 659.20 0.94× 0.801 24.80% 18 ↓ DN 54,515
2026-10-07 Wed ⚡ VOLATILE NORMAL 51% ⚡ VOLATILE -0.290% — 700.20 1.92× 0.124 58.40% 11 ↑ UP 55,056
2026-10-06 Tue ⚡ VOLATILE NORMAL 55% ↔ RANGING +0.342% — 364.40 0.44× 0.623 75.20% 16 ↑ UP 55,128
2026-10-05 Mon ↑ GAP_UP NORMAL 48% ↑ GAP_UP +0.716% filled 819.95 0.80× 0.154 27.20% 7 ↓ DN 54,714
2026-10-01 Thu ⚡ VOLATILE REVERSAL 72% ⚡ VOLATILE -0.092% — 1020.55 1.06× 0.130 35.20% 5 ↑ UP 54,451
2026-09-30 Wed ⚡ VOLATILE NORMAL 71% ⚡ VOLATILE -0.155% — 959.60 1.56× 0.476 81.60% 3 ↑ UP 54,633
2026-09-29 Tue ⚡ VOLATILE NORMAL 53% · NORMAL -0.345% — 616.15 0.65× 0.038 75.20% 5 — 54,260
2026-09-28 Mon ↓ GAP_DOWN STRONG_BEAR 82% ↓ GAP_DOWN -0.418% ran 948.95 2.44× 0.923 0.00% 0 ↓ DN 54,472
2026-09-25 Fri ⚡ VOLATILE REVERSAL 83% ↔ RANGING -0.117% — 388.55 0.68× 0.532 55.20% 12 ↑ UP 55,580
2026-09-24 Thu ↓ GAP_DOWN DOJI 11% ↓ GAP_DOWN -1.482% ran 572.95 1.38× 0.475 19.20% 20 ↓ DN 55,439
2026-09-23 Wed ↗ TRENDING_UP STRONG_BULL 68% ↔ RANGING -0.010% — 414.15 0.73× 0.819 89.60% 10 ↑ UP 56,549
2026-09-22 Tue ⚡ VOLATILE UPPER_WICK_DOM 33% ↔ RANGING +0.034% — 564.05 1.42× 0.486 13.60% 14 ↓ DN 56,216
2026-09-21 Mon ⚡ VOLATILE NORMAL 60% ↔ RANGING +0.006% — 397.45 0.94× 0.274 76.00% 11 ↑ UP 56,471
2026-09-18 Fri ⚡ VOLATILE REVERSAL 90% ↔ RANGING +0.209% — 423.30 0.80× 0.439 68.00% 12 ↓ DN 56,359
2026-09-17 Thu ⚡ VOLATILE NORMAL 62% · NORMAL -0.295% — 531.25 0.96× 0.133 32.00% 5 — 56,056
2026-09-16 Wed ⚡ VOLATILE NORMAL 57% · NORMAL +0.382% — 554.30 0.46× 0.514 86.40% 8 ↑ UP 56,292
2026-09-15 Tue ↑ GAP_UP NORMAL 48% ↑ GAP_UP +0.491% filled 1200.95 1.27× 0.907 0.00% 0 ↓ DN 55,795
2026-09-11 Fri ↓ GAP_DOWN REVERSAL 87% ↓ GAP_DOWN -0.889% filled 942.60 2.76× 0.675 96.80% 5 ↑ UP 56,607
2026-09-10 Thu ⚡ VOLATILE UPPER_WICK_DOM 49% ↔ RANGING -0.058% — 341.05 0.76× 0.613 32.80% 20 — 56,472
2026-09-09 Wed ↓ GAP_DOWN UPPER_WICK_DOM 43% ↓ GAP_DOWN -0.491% ran 447.30 1.40× 0.455 67.20% 8 ↑ UP 56,296
2026-09-08 Tue ⚡ VOLATILE NORMAL 24% ↔ RANGING -0.171% — 320.20 0.76× 0.665 12.00% 14 ↓ DN 56,778
2026-09-07 Mon ⚡ VOLATILE NORMAL 23% · NORMAL -0.046% — 423.30 1.21× 0.602 13.60% 4 ↓ DN 57,088
2026-09-04 Fri ⚡ VOLATILE UPPER_WICK_DOM 41% · NORMAL +0.195% — 350.50 0.94× 0.351 76.80% 8 ↑ UP 57,370
2026-09-03 Thu ↑ GAP_UP REVERSAL 75% ↑ GAP_UP +0.570% ran 371.85 0.94× 0.315 16.00% 11 ↓ DN 57,381
2026-09-02 Wed ↓ GAP_DOWN LOWER_WICK_DOM 25% ↓ GAP_DOWN -0.702% ran 395.20 0.64× 0.419 68.00% 14 ↑ UP 57,172
2026-09-01 Tue ↓ GAP_DOWN LOWER_WICK_DOM 37% ↓ GAP_DOWN -0.801% ran 615.25 0.49× 0.245 51.20% 7 ↑ UP 57,410
2026-08-31 Mon ⚡ VOLATILE LOWER_WICK_DOM 49% ⚡ VOLATILE -0.248% — 1256.45 3.79× 0.534 56.80% 6 ↓ DN 58,025
2026-08-28 Fri ⚡ VOLATILE NORMAL 40% ↔ RANGING -0.139% — 331.65 0.46× 0.201 45.60% 12 ↑ UP 57,496
2026-08-27 Thu ⚡ VOLATILE NORMAL 67% ⚡ VOLATILE +0.348% — 725.10 1.07× 0.655 11.20% 8 ↓ DN 57,510
2026-08-26 Wed ⚡ VOLATILE NORMAL 46% ⚡ VOLATILE +0.199% — 675.65 1.06× 0.230 44.00% 13 — 57,784
2026-08-25 Tue ⚡ VOLATILE NORMAL 68% ↔ RANGING -0.287% — 637.95 0.97× 0.241 21.60% 15 — 57,514
2026-08-24 Mon ⚡ VOLATILE UPPER_WICK_DOM 16% ⚡ VOLATILE +0.115% — 659.05 1.47× 0.459 4.00% 3 ↓ DN 57,526
2026-08-21 Fri · NORMAL NORMAL 65% ↔ RANGING +0.204% — 448.00 0.81× 0.332 57.60% 19 ↑ UP 57,762
2026-08-20 Thu ↑ GAP_UP UPPER_WICK_DOM 44% ↑ GAP_UP +0.468% filled 555.80 1.06× 0.021 44.80% 11 ↑ UP 57,496
2026-08-19 Wed ⚡ VOLATILE NORMAL 57% ↔ RANGING -0.003% — 526.30 1.24× 0.040 42.40% 9 — 57,240
2026-08-18 Tue ⚡ VOLATILE REVERSAL 79% ↔ RANGING -0.300% — 424.70 0.61× 0.149 38.40% 15 ↓ DN 57,262
2026-08-17 Mon ⚡ VOLATILE NORMAL 56% ⚡ VOLATILE -0.126% — 695.95 1.96× 0.114 64.80% 9 ↓ DN 57,498
2026-08-14 Fri · NORMAL LOWER_WICK_DOM 42% · NORMAL -0.079% — 354.80 1.42× 0.279 35.20% 7 ↑ UP 57,491
2026-08-13 Thu ⚡ VOLATILE NORMAL 45% ↔ RANGING -0.150% — 250.55 0.40× 0.654 34.40% 17 — 57,635
2026-08-12 Wed · NORMAL NORMAL 66% · NORMAL -0.095% — 628.50 1.41× 0.786 43.20% 5 ↑ UP 57,886
2026-08-11 Tue ⚡ VOLATILE NORMAL 56% · NORMAL -0.143% — 446.75 0.92× 0.354 79.20% 3 — 57,446
2026-08-10 Mon ⚡ VOLATILE NORMAL 56% ↔ RANGING +0.114% — 484.85 1.59× 0.259 24.00% 10 — 57,687
2026-08-07 Fri ⚡ VOLATILE UPPER_WICK_DOM 50% ↔ RANGING -0.313% — 305.45 0.85× 0.444 29.60% 12 ↓ DN 57,746
2026-08-06 Thu · NORMAL LOWER_WICK_DOM 35% · NORMAL +0.130% — 359.70 0.76× 0.691 92.80% 5 ↑ UP 58,064
2026-08-05 Wed ⚡ VOLATILE LOWER_WICK_DOM 25% ↔ RANGING -0.168% — 472.65 0.66× 0.148 16.00% 16 ↓ DN 57,740
2026-08-04 Tue ⚡ VOLATILE NORMAL 33% ⚡ VOLATILE -0.307% — 716.30 0.92× 0.226 11.20% 5 ↓ DN 57,907
2026-08-03 Mon ↑ GAP_UP LOWER_WICK_DOM 37% ↑ GAP_UP +0.621% ran 777.50 2.90× 0.872 62.40% 12 ↑ UP 58,248
2026-07-31 Fri ⚡ VOLATILE NORMAL 64% · NORMAL +0.215% — 267.85 0.57× 0.044 52.00% 7 — 57,214
2026-07-30 Thu ⚡ VOLATILE LOWER_WICK_DOM 32% ↔ RANGING -0.116% — 467.75 1.25× 0.052 67.20% 13 ↓ DN 57,103
2026-07-29 Wed ↑ GAP_UP NORMAL 50% ↑ GAP_UP +0.719% ran 375.65 0.99× 0.178 93.60% 7 ↑ UP 57,194
2026-07-28 Tue ↓ GAP_DOWN NORMAL 49% ↓ GAP_DOWN -0.407% ran 379.20 0.95× 0.435 39.20% 9 ↓ DN 56,719
2026-07-27 Mon ↑ GAP_UP NORMAL 50% ↑ GAP_UP +0.637% ran 400.15 0.50× 0.002 29.60% 8 ↓ DN 57,116
2026-07-24 Fri ↓ GAP_DOWN NORMAL 65% ↓ GAP_DOWN -0.696% filled 794.90 1.44× 0.737 73.60% 4 ↑ UP 56,755
2026-07-23 Thu ↓ GAP_DOWN NORMAL 74% ↓ GAP_DOWN -0.569% ran 550.50 0.68× 0.424 23.20% 4 ↓ DN 56,563
2026-07-22 Wed ↘ TRENDING_DOWN STRONG_BEAR 73% ⚡ VOLATILE -0.085% — 812.50 1.93× 0.795 3.20% 8 ↓ DN 57,122
2026-07-21 Tue ⚡ VOLATILE NORMAL 62% · NORMAL -0.210% — 421.65 0.73× 0.086 4.80% 5 ↓ DN 57,818
2026-07-20 Mon ↓ GAP_DOWN UPPER_WICK_DOM 23% ↓ GAP_DOWN -1.430% ran 574.45 0.55× 0.413 56.80% 10 ↑ UP 57,975
2026-07-17 Fri ⚡ VOLATILE NORMAL 46% ⚡ VOLATILE +0.104% — 1045.10 2.20× 0.875 96.00% 4 ↑ UP 58,576
2026-07-16 Thu ⚡ VOLATILE UPPER_WICK_DOM 38% ↔ RANGING +0.194% — 474.85 0.79× 0.482 13.60% 14 ↓ DN 57,602
2026-07-15 Wed ↗ TRENDING_UP STRONG_BULL 81% ↔ RANGING +0.340% — 602.10 1.09× 0.125 35.20% 15 — 57,719
2026-07-14 Tue ↓ GAP_DOWN STRONG_BEAR 65% ↓ GAP_DOWN -0.490% ran 551.30 0.76× 0.697 18.40% 8 ↓ DN 57,449
2026-07-13 Mon ↓ GAP_DOWN LOWER_WICK_DOM 48% ↓ GAP_DOWN -0.750% filled 726.15 1.10× 0.690 90.40% 8 ↑ UP 58,118
2026-07-10 Fri ↑ GAP_UP NORMAL 55% ↑ GAP_UP +0.471% ran 659.45 1.11× 0.697 84.00% 8 ↑ UP 58,052
2026-07-09 Thu ⚡ VOLATILE NORMAL 51% ↔ RANGING +0.078% — 596.90 0.39× 0.757 76.80% 12 ↑ UP 57,323
2026-07-08 Wed · NORMAL LOWER_WICK_DOM 25% ⚡ VOLATILE -0.372% — 1522.10 3.33× 0.717 30.40% 3 ↑ UP 56,827
2026-07-07 Tue ↑ GAP_UP LOWER_WICK_DOM 61% ↑ GAP_UP +0.523% filled 457.65 0.86× 0.947 20.80% 11 ↓ DN 58,135
2026-07-06 Mon ⚡ VOLATILE REVERSAL 87% ↔ RANGING +0.018% — 533.55 0.98× 0.523 71.20% 15 ↑ UP 58,263
2026-07-03 Fri ↑ GAP_UP NORMAL 65% ↑ GAP_UP +0.648% filled 544.20 1.07× 0.680 15.20% 16 ↓ DN 57,973
2026-07-02 Thu · NORMAL DOJI 16% · NORMAL +0.373% — 510.25 0.79× 0.327 16.00% 5 ↓ DN 57,968
2026-07-01 Wed ⚡ VOLATILE UPPER_WICK_DOM 40% · NORMAL -0.203% — 646.30 1.17× 0.534 96.80% 5 ↑ UP 57,918
2026-06-30 Tue ↘ TRENDING_DOWN STRONG_BEAR 69% ↔ RANGING +0.318% — 554.25 0.82× 0.580 24.00% 16 ↓ DN 57,691
2026-06-29 Mon ⚡ VOLATILE LOWER_WICK_DOM 36% ⚡ VOLATILE -0.003% — 674.80 1.14× 0.539 21.60% 15 ↓ DN 57,828
2026-06-25 Thu ↑ GAP_UP NORMAL 55% ↑ GAP_UP +0.552% filled 594.55 0.50× 0.506 54.40% 12 ↑ UP 58,193
2026-06-24 Wed ⚡ VOLATILE NORMAL 53% ⚡ VOLATILE -0.049% — 1179.95 1.34× 0.930 96.00% 2 ↑ UP 58,173
2026-06-23 Tue · NORMAL NORMAL 42% ⚡ VOLATILE -0.007% — 878.30 3.05× 0.893 20.00% 16 ↓ DN 57,103
2026-06-22 Mon · NORMAL LOWER_WICK_DOM 26% ↔ RANGING +0.333% — 287.75 0.85× 0.056 74.40% 11 ↑ UP 57,891
2026-06-19 Fri ↓ GAP_DOWN LOWER_WICK_DOM 31% ↓ GAP_DOWN -0.401% ran 338.55 0.79× 0.118 38.40% 14 ↓ DN 57,715
2026-06-18 Thu ⚡ VOLATILE NORMAL 68% ↔ RANGING +0.044% — 427.35 1.01× 0.914 77.60% 10 ↑ UP 57,987
2026-06-17 Wed ⚡ VOLATILE LOWER_WICK_DOM 41% · NORMAL +0.245% — 422.65 1.32× 0.325 90.40% 7 ↑ UP 57,571
2026-06-16 Tue ⚡ VOLATILE UPPER_WICK_DOM 34% ↔ RANGING +0.275% — 321.00 0.48× 0.082 45.60% 15 ↓ DN 57,294
2026-06-15 Mon ↑ GAP_UP UPPER_WICK_DOM 36% ↑ GAP_UP +1.539% ran 673.60 0.59× 0.767 15.20% 4 ↓ DN 57,163
2026-06-12 Fri ↑ GAP_UP DOJI 10% ↑ GAP_UP +1.303% ran 1137.00 1.37× 0.766 71.20% 10 ↓ DN 56,806
2026-06-11 Thu ↓ GAP_DOWN STRONG_BULL 81% ↓ GAP_DOWN -0.589% filled 829.70 1.57× 0.524 72.80% 13 ↑ UP 55,215
2026-06-10 Wed ⚡ VOLATILE NORMAL 64% ↔ RANGING -0.251% — 527.05 0.50× 0.012 69.60% 9 ↑ UP 55,104
2026-06-09 Tue ↑ GAP_UP STRONG_BULL 91% ↑ GAP_UP +0.477% ran 1050.85 1.75× 0.937 78.40% 12 ↑ UP 55,249
2026-06-08 Mon ↓ GAP_DOWN NORMAL 54% ↓ GAP_DOWN -1.222% ran 600.45 0.83× 0.256 37.60% 11 — 54,007
2026-06-05 Fri ⚡ VOLATILE UPPER_WICK_DOM 24% ⚡ VOLATILE +0.137% — 722.70 1.16× 0.158 50.40% 17 ↑ UP 54,520
2026-06-04 Thu ↓ GAP_DOWN NORMAL 63% ↓ GAP_DOWN -0.605% filled 622.00 0.49× 0.662 76.80% 14 ↑ UP 54,331
2026-06-03 Wed ↓ GAP_DOWN STRONG_BEAR 70% ↓ GAP_DOWN -0.506% filled 1267.30 1.58× 0.557 60.00% 11 ↓ DN 54,247