Nifty Market Regime Log
Daily BankNifty regime classification (used as proxy) · last 90 trading days · Nifty strategy calibration matrix
Regime Distribution (last 90 days)
↔ RANGING
4
days
· NORMAL
3
days
Nifty Strategy Win Rate by Regime
Green = preferred (≥50% WR, 10+ trades) · Red = avoid · Gray = not enough data yet (<10 trades)
| S# | GAP UP | GAP DOWN | VOLATILE | TRENDING UP | TRENDING DOWN | RANGING | NORMAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | — | — | — | — | — |
4t
4t
|
3t
3t
|
| S2 | — | — | — | — | — |
4t
4t
|
3t
3t
|
| S3 | — | — | — | — | — |
4t
4t
|
2t
2t
|
| S8 | — | — | — | — | — |
1t
1t
|
1t
1t
|
| S13 | — | — | — | — | — |
4t
4t
|
3t
3t
|
| S14 | — | — | — | — | — |
1t
1t
|
1t
1t
|
| S16 | — | — | — | — | — |
1t
1t
|
1t
1t
|
| S17 | — | — | — | — | — |
1t
1t
|
1t
1t
|
| S18 | — | — | — | — | — |
1t
1t
|
1t
1t
|
| S20 | — | — | — | — | — |
1t
1t
|
1t
1t
|
| S22 | — | — | — | — | — |
1t
1t
|
1t
1t
|
Today's Nifty Strategy Ranking — Composite Score
Score = Regime win rate (35%) + DOW win rate (25%) + Recent 10-trade win rate (40%). Null component = neutral 50. Blocked = that dimension has enough data and proves bad.
| Strategy | Score | Regime (—) | DOW win rate | Recent 10 trades | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 ★ top pick | 54.0 | — | — | 60% | neutral |
| S8 | 50.0 | — | — | — | neutral |
| S14 | 50.0 | — | — | — | neutral |
| S16 | 50.0 | — | — | — | neutral |
| S17 | 50.0 | — | — | — | neutral |
| S18 | 50.0 | — | — | — | neutral |
| S20 | 50.0 | — | — | — | neutral |
| S22 | 50.0 | — | — | — | neutral |
| S13 | 46.0 | — | — | 40% | neutral |
| S2 | 38.0 | — | — | 20% | neutral |
| S3 | 34.0 | — | — | 10% | neutral |
Nifty Strategy Win Rate by Day of Week
Green = preferred (≥50% WR, 10+ trades) · Red = avoid · Gray = not enough data
| Strategy | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 |
1t
1t
|
1t
1t
|
1t
1t
|
2t
2t
|
2t
2t
|
| S2 |
1t
1t
|
1t
1t
|
1t
1t
|
2t
2t
|
2t
2t
|
| S3 | — |
1t
1t
|
1t
1t
|
2t
2t
|
2t
2t
|
| S8 | — | — | — |
1t
1t
|
1t
1t
|
| S13 |
1t
1t
|
1t
1t
|
1t
1t
|
2t
2t
|
2t
2t
|
| S14 | — | — | — |
1t
1t
|
1t
1t
|
| S16 | — | — | — |
1t
1t
|
1t
1t
|
| S17 | — | — | — |
1t
1t
|
1t
1t
|
| S18 | — | — | — |
1t
1t
|
1t
1t
|
| S20 | — | — | — |
1t
1t
|
1t
1t
|
| S22 | — | — | — |
1t
1t
|
1t
1t
|
Daily Log — Last 90 Days
| Date | Day | 9:21 type | Candle structure | Final | Gap % | Gap filled | Range | Exp× | DE | %↑VWAP | VWAP× | OR brk | Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Fri | ⚡ VOLATILE | UPPER_WICK_DOM 37% | ↔ RANGING | +0.132% | — | 187.50 | 0.68× | 0.283 | 36.80% | 9 | ↑ UP | 24,176 |
| 2026-08-27 | Thu | ⚡ VOLATILE | UPPER_WICK_DOM 31% | · NORMAL | +0.289% | — | 275.10 | 0.71× | 0.679 | 12.80% | 6 | ↓ DN | 24,091 |
| 2026-08-26 | Wed | · NORMAL | NORMAL 52% | · NORMAL | +0.030% | — | 389.80 | 1.21× | 0.344 | 11.20% | 2 | ↓ DN | 24,208 |
| 2026-08-25 | Tue | · NORMAL | NORMAL 66% | ↔ RANGING | -0.179% | — | 321.15 | 1.23× | 0.494 | 55.20% | 15 | ↓ DN | 24,335 |
| 2026-08-24 | Mon | · NORMAL | NORMAL 36% | · NORMAL | +0.136% | — | 260.95 | 2.46× | 0.253 | 6.40% | 4 | ↓ DN | 24,219 |
| 2026-08-21 | Fri | ↘ TRENDING_DOWN | STRONG_BEAR 84% | ↔ RANGING | +0.215% | — | 105.90 | 0.49× | 0.303 | 40.80% | 15 | — | 24,252 |
| 2026-08-20 | Thu | · NORMAL | NORMAL 64% | ↔ RANGING | — | — | 218.30 | — | 0.029 | 81.60% | 11 | ↑ UP | 24,232 |