Nifty Market Regime Log
Daily BankNifty regime classification (used as proxy) · last 90 trading days · Nifty strategy calibration matrix
Today — 2026-10-15
At open (9:21)
· NORMAL
· NORMAL
Final (15:36)
· NORMAL
· NORMAL
Gap
+0.215%
+48.60 pts
Range
418.80 pts
2.11× prev day
DE (trend strength)
0.779
0 = choppy · 1 = pure trend
VWAP
94.40%
time above VWAP
4 crosses · ABOVE
Opening Range
143.45 pts
direction: UP
breakout: UP
Opening Candles (9:21)
NORMAL
C1
body 44%
↑22
↓34
C2
body 54%
↑19
↓1
avg body 49%
· U-wick 41%
· L-wick 35%
OHLC
O 22,671
H 23,056
L 22,637
C 22,997
Regime Distribution (last 90 days)
↔ RANGING
15
days
· NORMAL
14
days
↓ GAP_DOWN
4
days
↘ TRENDING_DOWN
3
days
↑ GAP_UP
2
days
↗ TRENDING_UP
1
days
Nifty Strategy Win Rate by Regime
Green = preferred (≥50% WR, 10+ trades) · Red = avoid · Gray = not enough data yet (<10 trades)
| S# | GAP UP | GAP DOWN | VOLATILE | TRENDING UP | TRENDING DOWN | RANGING | NORMAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 |
2t
2t
|
4t
4t
|
— |
1t
1t
|
3t
3t
|
13.33%
15t
|
64.29%
14t
|
| S2 |
2t
2t
|
4t
4t
|
— |
1t
1t
|
3t
3t
|
46.67%
15t
|
28.57%
14t
|
| S3 |
2t
2t
|
4t
4t
|
— |
1t
1t
|
3t
3t
|
20.00%
15t
|
76.92%
13t
|
| S8 |
2t
2t
|
4t
4t
|
— |
1t
1t
|
3t
3t
|
41.67%
12t
|
8.33%
12t
|
| S13 |
1t
1t
|
4t
4t
|
— | — |
2t
2t
|
4t
4t
|
3t
3t
|
| S14 |
2t
2t
|
4t
4t
|
— |
1t
1t
|
3t
3t
|
33.33%
12t
|
75.00%
12t
|
| S16 |
2t
2t
|
4t
4t
|
— |
1t
1t
|
3t
3t
|
66.67%
12t
|
66.67%
12t
|
| S17 |
2t
2t
|
4t
4t
|
— |
1t
1t
|
3t
3t
|
8.33%
12t
|
45.45%
11t
|
| S18 |
1t
1t
|
2t
2t
|
— |
1t
1t
|
3t
3t
|
10.00%
10t
|
36.36%
11t
|
| S20 |
2t
2t
|
4t
4t
|
— |
1t
1t
|
3t
3t
|
16.67%
12t
|
33.33%
12t
|
| S22 |
2t
2t
|
4t
4t
|
— |
1t
1t
|
3t
3t
|
58.33%
12t
|
33.33%
12t
|
| S23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Today's Nifty Strategy Ranking — Composite Score
Score = Regime win rate (35%) + Thu win rate (25%) + Recent 10-trade win rate (40%). Null component = neutral 50. Blocked = that dimension has enough data and proves bad.
| Strategy | Score | Regime (NORMAL) | Thu win rate | Recent 10 trades | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S14 ★ top pick | 66.8 | 75% (12t) | 8t | 70% | ✓ good |
| S1 | 61.5 | 64.29% (14t) | 60% (10t) | 60% | ✓ good |
| S16 | 59.8 | 66.67% (12t) | 8t | 60% | ✓ good |
| S3 | 59.4 | 76.92% (13t) | 50% (10t) | 50% | ✓ good |
| S13 | 54.0 | 3t | 3t | 60% | neutral |
| S17 | 52.4 | 45.45% (11t) | 7t | 60% | blocked |
| S20 | 44.2 | 33.33% (12t) | 8t | 50% | blocked |
| S2 | 41.5 | 28.57% (14t) | 30% (10t) | 60% | blocked |
| S22 | 40.2 | 33.33% (12t) | 8t | 40% | blocked |
| S18 | 37.2 | 36.36% (11t) | 8t | 30% | blocked |
| S8 | 35.4 | 8.33% (12t) | 8t | 50% | blocked |
Nifty Strategy Win Rate by Day of Week
Green = preferred (≥50% WR, 10+ trades) · Red = avoid · Gray = not enough data
| Strategy | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 |
8t
8t
|
9t
9t
|
20.00%
10t
|
60.00%
10t
|
8t
8t
|
| S2 |
8t
8t
|
9t
9t
|
30.00%
10t
|
30.00%
10t
|
8t
8t
|
| S3 |
7t
7t
|
9t
9t
|
10.00%
10t
|
50.00%
10t
|
8t
8t
|
| S8 |
6t
6t
|
7t
7t
|
7t
7t
|
8t
8t
|
6t
6t
|
| S13 |
2t
2t
|
1t
1t
|
3t
3t
|
3t
3t
|
1t
1t
|
| S14 |
6t
6t
|
7t
7t
|
7t
7t
|
8t
8t
|
6t
6t
|
| S16 |
6t
6t
|
7t
7t
|
7t
7t
|
8t
8t
|
6t
6t
|
| S17 |
6t
6t
|
7t
7t
|
7t
7t
|
7t
7t
|
6t
6t
|
| S18 |
5t
5t
|
6t
6t
|
5t
5t
|
8t
8t
|
4t
4t
|
| S20 |
6t
6t
|
7t
7t
|
7t
7t
|
8t
8t
|
6t
6t
|
| S22 |
6t
6t
|
7t
7t
|
7t
7t
|
8t
8t
|
6t
6t
|
| S23 | — | — | — | — | — |
| S24 | — | — | — | — | — |
Daily Log — Last 90 Days
| Date | Day | 9:21 type | Candle structure | Final | Gap % | Gap filled | Range | Exp× | DE | %↑VWAP | VWAP× | OR brk | Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Thu | · NORMAL | NORMAL 49% | · NORMAL | +0.215% | — | 418.80 | 2.11× | 0.779 | 94.40% | 4 | ↑ UP | 22,997 |
| 2026-10-14 | Wed | · NORMAL | LOWER_WICK_DOM 34% | ↔ RANGING | -0.027% | — | 198.85 | 0.46× | 0.468 | 36.80% | 17 | ↓ DN | 22,623 |
| 2026-10-13 | Tue | · NORMAL | NORMAL 59% | · NORMAL | +0.004% | — | 433.25 | 1.25× | 0.826 | 77.60% | 8 | ↑ UP | 22,722 |
| 2026-10-12 | Mon | ⚡ VOLATILE | REVERSAL 76% | ↘ TRENDING_DOWN | +0.323% | — | 346.10 | 1.21× | 0.664 | 1.60% | 3 | ↓ DN | 22,363 |
| 2026-10-09 | Fri | · NORMAL | NORMAL 58% | · NORMAL | +0.374% | — | 285.30 | 0.68× | 0.720 | 96.00% | 4 | ↑ UP | 22,520 |
| 2026-10-08 | Thu | · NORMAL | LOWER_WICK_DOM 42% | ↘ TRENDING_DOWN | -0.018% | — | 418.75 | 2.45× | 0.877 | 0.00% | 0 | ↓ DN | 22,232 |
| 2026-10-07 | Wed | · NORMAL | NORMAL 51% | ↔ RANGING | -0.376% | — | 170.70 | 0.80× | 0.512 | 45.60% | 14 | ↑ UP | 22,603 |
| 2026-10-06 | Tue | · NORMAL | NORMAL 44% | ↗ TRENDING_UP | +0.211% | — | 214.30 | 0.96× | 0.807 | 98.40% | 1 | ↑ UP | 22,776 |
| 2026-10-05 | Mon | ↑ GAP_UP | NORMAL 69% | ↑ GAP_UP | +0.493% | filled | 224.30 | 0.57× | 0.104 | 39.20% | 4 | ↑ UP | 22,556 |
| 2026-10-01 | Thu | · NORMAL | NORMAL 52% | ↔ RANGING | -0.339% | — | 392.90 | 1.84× | 0.310 | 22.40% | 15 | ↓ DN | 22,422 |
| 2026-09-30 | Wed | ⚡ VOLATILE | UPPER_WICK_DOM 58% | ↔ RANGING | -0.225% | — | 214.05 | 1.17× | 0.208 | 49.60% | 16 | ↑ UP | 22,620 |
| 2026-09-29 | Tue | · NORMAL | NORMAL 62% | ↔ RANGING | -0.210% | — | 183.50 | 0.58× | 0.089 | 66.40% | 13 | — | 22,716 |
| 2026-09-28 | Mon | ↘ TRENDING_DOWN | STRONG_BEAR 75% | · NORMAL | -0.327% | — | 317.50 | 2.25× | 0.897 | 1.60% | 4 | ↓ DN | 22,780 |
| 2026-09-25 | Fri | · NORMAL | NORMAL 73% | ↔ RANGING | -0.122% | — | 141.45 | 0.60× | 0.746 | 52.80% | 14 | ↑ UP | 23,141 |
| 2026-09-24 | Thu | ↓ GAP_DOWN | UPPER_WICK_DOM 27% | ↓ GAP_DOWN | -0.960% | ran | 234.40 | 2.00× | 0.677 | 12.00% | 10 | ↓ DN | 23,063 |
| 2026-09-23 | Wed | ↗ TRENDING_UP | STRONG_BULL 71% | ↔ RANGING | +0.099% | — | 117.20 | 0.58× | 0.808 | 83.20% | 10 | ↑ UP | 23,447 |
| 2026-09-22 | Tue | · NORMAL | DOJI 23% | · NORMAL | +0.170% | — | 203.05 | 1.36× | 0.616 | 20.80% | 8 | ↓ DN | 23,329 |
| 2026-09-21 | Mon | · NORMAL | NORMAL 48% | · NORMAL | -0.069% | — | 149.50 | 1.46× | 0.563 | 86.40% | 6 | ↑ UP | 23,414 |
| 2026-09-18 | Fri | · NORMAL | NORMAL 50% | ↔ RANGING | +0.275% | — | 102.35 | 0.61× | 0.114 | 68.00% | 12 | ↑ UP | 23,346 |
| 2026-09-17 | Thu | · NORMAL | NORMAL 56% | ↔ RANGING | -0.096% | — | 168.20 | 1.00× | 0.448 | 56.80% | 15 | ↑ UP | 23,271 |
| 2026-09-16 | Wed | ⚡ VOLATILE | REVERSAL 78% | ↔ RANGING | +0.359% | — | 168.40 | 0.36× | 0.095 | 68.00% | 17 | — | 23,218 |
| 2026-09-15 | Tue | ↑ GAP_UP | NORMAL 60% | ↑ GAP_UP | +0.761% | filled | 469.70 | 2.18× | 0.974 | 0.00% | 0 | ↓ DN | 23,119 |
| 2026-09-11 | Fri | ↓ GAP_DOWN | REVERSAL 72% | ↓ GAP_DOWN | -0.884% | ran | 215.65 | 1.98× | 0.593 | 93.60% | 7 | ↑ UP | 23,398 |
| 2026-09-10 | Thu | ⚡ VOLATILE | UPPER_WICK_DOM 36% | ↔ RANGING | +0.064% | — | 109.05 | 0.78× | 0.286 | 36.80% | 17 | ↓ DN | 23,478 |
| 2026-09-09 | Wed | ↓ GAP_DOWN | REVERSAL 80% | ↓ GAP_DOWN | -0.478% | ran | 139.85 | 1.06× | 0.647 | 64.00% | 8 | ↑ UP | 23,432 |
| 2026-09-08 | Tue | · NORMAL | NORMAL 41% | · NORMAL | -0.152% | — | 132.35 | 0.88× | 0.816 | 12.00% | 8 | ↓ DN | 23,635 |
| 2026-09-07 | Mon | · NORMAL | NORMAL 30% | ↘ TRENDING_DOWN | -0.061% | — | 150.75 | 1.39× | 0.690 | 0.80% | 2 | ↓ DN | 23,779 |
| 2026-09-04 | Fri | ⚡ VOLATILE | UPPER_WICK_DOM 15% | · NORMAL | +0.157% | — | 108.85 | 0.73× | 0.121 | 43.20% | 8 | ↑ UP | 23,898 |
| 2026-09-03 | Thu | · NORMAL | NORMAL 34% | · NORMAL | +0.349% | — | 149.40 | 1.18× | 0.833 | 14.40% | 6 | ↓ DN | 23,873 |
| 2026-09-02 | Wed | ↓ GAP_DOWN | NORMAL 43% | ↓ GAP_DOWN | -0.822% | ran | 126.40 | 0.51× | 0.447 | 72.00% | 11 | ↑ UP | 23,914 |
| 2026-09-01 | Tue | · NORMAL | NORMAL 50% | · NORMAL | -0.012% | — | 249.90 | 0.58× | 0.087 | 51.20% | 5 | ↓ DN | 24,056 |
| 2026-08-31 | Mon | · NORMAL | LOWER_WICK_DOM 50% | · NORMAL | -0.240% | — | 433.80 | 2.31× | 0.086 | 51.20% | 7 | ↓ DN | 24,080 |
| 2026-08-28 | Fri | ⚡ VOLATILE | UPPER_WICK_DOM 37% | ↔ RANGING | +0.132% | — | 187.50 | 0.68× | 0.283 | 36.80% | 9 | ↑ UP | 24,176 |
| 2026-08-27 | Thu | ⚡ VOLATILE | UPPER_WICK_DOM 31% | · NORMAL | +0.289% | — | 275.10 | 0.71× | 0.679 | 12.80% | 6 | ↓ DN | 24,091 |
| 2026-08-26 | Wed | · NORMAL | NORMAL 52% | · NORMAL | +0.030% | — | 389.80 | 1.21× | 0.344 | 11.20% | 2 | ↓ DN | 24,208 |
| 2026-08-25 | Tue | · NORMAL | NORMAL 66% | ↔ RANGING | -0.179% | — | 321.15 | 1.23× | 0.494 | 55.20% | 15 | ↓ DN | 24,335 |
| 2026-08-24 | Mon | · NORMAL | NORMAL 36% | · NORMAL | +0.136% | — | 260.95 | 2.46× | 0.253 | 6.40% | 4 | ↓ DN | 24,219 |
| 2026-08-21 | Fri | ↘ TRENDING_DOWN | STRONG_BEAR 84% | ↔ RANGING | +0.215% | — | 105.90 | 0.49× | 0.303 | 40.80% | 15 | — | 24,252 |
| 2026-08-20 | Thu | · NORMAL | NORMAL 64% | ↔ RANGING | — | — | 218.30 | — | 0.029 | 81.60% | 11 | ↑ UP | 24,232 |